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Last update: 25 January 2010
Alfaro, E.J., A. Gershunov and D. Cayan, 2006: Prediction of summer maximum and minimum temperature over the central and western United States: The role of soil moisture and sea surface temperature. J. Climate, 19(8), 1407-1421, doi: 10.1175/JCLI3665.1. (Click here for pdf file)
Alfaro, A., A. Gershunov, D. Cayan, A. Steinemann, D. Pierce and T. Barnett, 2004: A Method for Prediction of California Summer Air Surface Temperature. EOS, 85(51), 553, 557-558. (Click here for pdf file)
Anderson, J., F. Chung, M. Anderson, L. Brekke, D. Easton, M. Ejeta, R. Peterson and R. Snyder, 2008: Progress on incorporating climate change into management of California's water resources. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S91-S108, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9353-1. (Click here for pdf file)
Baldocchi, D., and S. Wong, 2008: Accumulated winter chill is decreasing in the fruit growing regions of California. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S153-S166, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9367-8. (Click here for pdf file)
Bales, R.C., N.P. Molotch, T.H. Painter, M.D. Dettinger, R. Rice and J. Dozier, 2006: Mountain hydrology of the western United States. Water Resources Research, 42, W08432, doi:10.1029/2005WR004387, 13 p. (Click here for pdf file)
Battles, J.J., T. Robards, A. Das, K. Saring, J.Keith Gilless, G. Biging and F. Schurr, 2008: Climate change impacts on forest growth and tree mortality: a data-driven modeling study in the mixed-conifer forest of the Sierra Nevada, California. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S193-S213, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9358-9. (Click here for pdf file)
Barnett, T.P., D.W. Pierce, H. Hidalgo, C. Bonfils, B. Santer, T. Das, G. Bala, A. Wood, T. Nozawa, A. Mirin, D. Cayan and M. Dettinger, 2008: Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States. Science, 316, 1080-1083. (Click here for pdf file)
Betancourt, J.L., M.D. Schwartz, D.D. Breshears, D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger, D.W. Inouye, E. Post and B.C. Reed, 2005: Implementing a U.S. National Phenology Network. EOS, 86(51). (Click here for pdf file)
Biondi, F., A. Gershunov, and D.R. Cayan, 2001: North Pacific Decadal Climate Variability Since 1661. J. Climate, Letters, 14(1), 5-10.
Bonfils, C., P.B. Duffy, B.D. Santer, T.M.L. Wigley, D.B. Lobell, T.J. Phillips and C. Doutriaux, 2008: Identification of external influences on temperatures in California. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S43-S55, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9374-9. (Click here for pdf file)
Brekke, L.D., E.P. Maurer, J.D. Anderson, M.D. Dettinger, E.S. Townsley, A. Harrison, and T. Pruitt, 2009: Assessing reservoir operations risk under climate change. Water Resour. Res., 45, W04411, doi:10.1029/2008WR006941. (Click here for personal use pdf file)
Brekke, L.D., M.D. Dettinger, E.P. Maurer and M. Anderson, 2008: Significance of model credibility in estimating climate projection distributions for regional hydroclimatological risk assessments. Climatic Change, 89, 371-394. doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9388-3 (Click here for pdf file)
Bromirski, P.D., D.R. Cayan and R.E. Flick, 2005: Wave spectral energy variability in the northeast Pacific. J. Geophys. Res., 110, C03005, doi:10.1029/2004/2004JC002398. (Click here for pdf file)
Bromirski, P., R.E. Flick and D.R. Cayan, 2003: Storminess Variability Along the California Coast: 1858-2000. J. Climate, 16(6), 982-993.
Brown, T.J., B.L. Hall, A.L. Westerling, 2003: The impact of twenty-first century climate change on wildland fire danger in the western United States, an applications perspective. Climatic Change, 62, 365-388. (Click here for pdf file)
Brown, T.J., 2002: 2002 Seasonal Consensus Climate Forecast for Wildland Fire Management. Report prepared for Interagency Fire Management, CEFA Report 02-02, March 2002, 5 pp.
Brown, T.J., A. Barnston, J.O. Roads, R. Tinker, and K.E. Wolter, 2002: 2002 Seasonal Consensus Climate Forecasts for Wildland Fire Management. Experimental Long-Long Forecast Bulletin, Center for Land-Ocean-Atmosphere Studies, University of Maryland, March 2002.
Brown, T.J., B.L. Hall, and G.D. McCurdy, 2002: Quality Control of California Historical RAWS Data. Report prepared for the California Firescope Weather Working Group, CEFA Report 02-01, March 2002, 27 pp.
Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2001: Climate and Ecosystem Studies and Product Development for Wildland Fire and Resource Management, Annual Report prepared for Bureau of Land Management, CEFA Report 01-04, November 2001, 13 pp.
Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2001: Assessing long-term fire danger variability and change from climate model output. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, November 2001, 217-219.
Brown, T.J., 2001: Program for Climate, Ecosystem and Fire Applications. Proceedings 2001 Fire and Climate Workshops, University of Arizona, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, Climate Assessment for the Southwest, 44-47.
Brown, T.J., 2001: Fire Forecasts for 2001. Proceedings 2001 Fire and Climate Workshops, University of Arizona, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, Climate Assessment for the Southwest, 12-14.
Brown, T.J., 2001: Climate and Fire: Framing the Issues in Context of the 2000 Fire Season. Proceedings 2001 Fire and Climate Workshops, University of Arizona, Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, Climate Assessment for the Southwest, 3-7.
Brown, T.J. and B.L. Hall, 2001: Climate Analysis of the 2000 Fire Season. CEFA Report 01-02, 37 pp.
Burns, J.C., D.R. Cayan, G. Tong, E.V. Bainto, C.L. Turner, H. Shike, T. Kawasaki, Y. Nakamura, M. Yashiro and H. Yanagawa, 2005: Seasonality and Temporal Clustering of Kawasaki Syndrome. Epidemiology, 16(2), 220-225. (Click here for pdf file)
Bytnerowicz, A., D. Cayan, P. Riggan, S. Schilling, P. Dawson, M. Tyree, L. Wolden, R. Tissell and H. Preisler, 2010: Analysis of the effects of combustion emissions and Santa Ana winds on ambient ozone during the October 2007 southern California wildfires. Atmospheric Environment, 44, 678-687. (Click here for pdf file)
Carpenter, T.M., and K.P. Georgakakos, 2001: Assessment of Folsom Lake Response to Historical and Potential Future Climate Scenarios: 1. Forecasting, J. of Hydrology, 249(1-4), 148-175.
Cayan, D., M. Tyree, M. Dettinger, H. Hidalgo, T. Das, E. Maurer, P. Bromirski, N. Graham and R. Flick, 2009: Climate Change Scenarios and Sea Level Rise Estimates for the California 2009 Climate Change Scenarios Assessment. California Climate Change Center, publication #CEC-500-2009-014-F, 64 pages, August 2009. (Click here for pdf file)
Cayan, D.R., A.L. Luers, G. Franco, M. Hanemann, B. Croes and E. Vine, 2008: Overview of the California climate change scenarios project. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S1-S6, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9352-2. (Click here for pdf file)
Cayan, D.R., E.P. Maurer, M.D. Dettinger, M. Tyree and K. Hayhoe, 2008: Climate Change Scenarios for the California Region. Climatic Change, published online, 26 Jan 2008, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9377-6. (Click here for pdf file)
Cayan, D.R., P.D. Bromirski, K. Hayhoe, M. Tyree, M..D. Dettinger and R.E. Flick, 2008: Climate change projections of sea level extremes along the California coast. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S57-S73, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9376-7. (Click here for pdf file)
Cayan, D., P. Bromirski, K. Hayhoe, M. Tyree, M. Dettinger and R. Flick, 2006: Projecting Future Sea Level. California Climate Change Center, publication #CEC-500-2005-202-SF, 64 pages, March 2006. (Click here for pdf file)
Cayan, D., E. Maurer, M. Dettinger, M. Tyree, K. Hayhoe, C. Bonfils, P. Duffy and B. Santer, 2006: Climate Scenarios for California. California Climate Change Center, publication #CEC-500-2005-203-SF, 52 pages, March 2006. (Click here for pdf file)
Cayan, D., M. Dettinger, I. Stewart and N. Knowles, 2005: Recent changes toward earlier springs -- Early signs of climate warming in western North America. Watershed Management Council Networker, 13, Spring 2005, 3-7. (Click here for pdf file)
Cayan, D.R., M.D. Dettinger, K.T. Redmond, G.J. McCabe, N. Knowles and D.H. Peterson, D.H., 2003: The transboundary setting of California's water and hydropower systems -- Linkages between the Sierra Nevada, Columbia River, and Colorado River hydroclimates: Chapter 11 in Diaz, H.F. and B. Woodhouse (eds.), Climate and Water - Transboundary challenges in the Americas, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Advances in Global Change Research, 16, 237-262. (Click here for pdf file)
Cayan, D.R., M.K. Tyree and M.D. Dettinger, 2002: Climate linkages to female Culex Cx. tarsalis abundance in California. Proc., Annual Mosquito Vector Control Association of California Conference, Tenaya Lodge, CA, 10 pp. (Click here for doc file)
Cayan, D.R., M.D. Dettinger, R. Hanson, T. Brown and A. Westerling, 2001: Investigation of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in the California Region, Department of Energy Accelerated Climate Prediction Initiative (ACPI) Progress Report, 1/19/01, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, U.S. Geological Survey, Desert Research Institute, 26 pp.
Cayan, D.R., M.D. Dettinger, J.M. Caprio, S.A. Kammerdiener and D.H. Peterson, 2001: Reply to "Comments on 'Changes in the Onset of Spring in the Western United States'" by D. Lilly: Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 82, 2265-2266.
Cayan, D.R., S.A. Kammerdiener, M.D. Dettinger, J.M. Caprio, and D.H. Peterson, 2001: Changes in the Onset of Spring in the Western United States. Bull. Am. Met. Soc., 82, 399-415. (Click here for pdf file)
Cayan, D.R., 2000: Hydroclimatology of California floods and droughts (abstract). CALFED Science Conference, Sacramento, October 2000.
Cayan, D. R., D.H. Peterson and M. D. Dettinger, 1999: Regional scale variability in spring snowmelt runoff in the western United States. Abstract, EOS, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting supplement, 80.
Cayan, D.R., D.H. Peterson and M.D. Dettinger, 1999: Intraseasonal pulses of snowmelt runoff in the western US. NOAA Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, Tucson, AZ, November 1999.
Cayan, D.R., K.T. Redmond and L.G. Riddle, 1999: ENSO and Hydrologic Extremes in the Western United States. Journal of Climate, 12, 2881-2893.
Cayan, D.R. and L.G. Riddle, 1993: Atmospheric circulation and precipitation in the Sierra Nevada. Proceedings of the AWRA 28th Annual Conference and Sumposium, Renov, Nevada, November 1-5, 1992. In Managing Water Resources During Global Change, R. Herrmann, Editor, 711-720. (Click here for pdf file)
Clark, M.P., L.E. Hay, J. Pitlick, A. Ray, D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger, and G.H. Leavesley, 2001: Development of short-term streamflow forecasts for specific management applications: case study of flow augmentation requirements for the maintenance of endangered fish habitat (abstract). American Meteorical Society, 12th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, January 2001, Albuquerque, NM.
Corringham, T., A. L. Westerling and B. Morehouse, 2008: Exploring Use of Climate Information in Wildland Fire Management: A Decision Calendar Study. Journal of Forestry, 106(2):71-77. (Click here for abstract)
Das, T., H. Hidalgo, D. Cayan, M. Dettinger, D. Pierce, C. Bonfils, T.P. Barnett, G. Bala and A. Mirin, 2009: Structure and origins of trends in hydrological measures over the western United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 10, 871-892. doi:10.1175/2009JHM1095.1. (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., and S. Culberson, 2008: Internalizing climate change - Scientific resource management and the climate change challenges. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 6(2), Article 6. http://repositories.cdlib.org/jmie/sfews/vol6/iss2/art6 - or - (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., and S. Earman, 2007: Western Ground Water and Climate Change - Pivotal to Supply Sustainability or Vulnerable in Its Own Right? Association of Ground Water Scientists and Engineers Newsletter, June 2007, 4-5. (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., 2006: A component-resampling approach for estimating probability distributions from small forecast ensembles. Climatic Change, 20p, doi:10.1007/s10584-005-9001-6. (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., 2005: A long-term (50 yr) historical perspective on flood-generating winter storms in the American River basin. Proc. 2005 California Extreme Precipitation Symposium, 62-73. (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., 2005: From climate-change spaghetti to climate-change distributions for 21st Century California. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 3(1). (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., K.T. Redmond and D.R. Cayan, 2004: Winter orographic-precipitation ratios in the Sierra Nevada - Large-scale atmospheric circulations and hydrologic consequences. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 5, 1102-1116. (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D. and D.R. Cayan, 2003: Interseasonal covariability of Sierra Nevada streamflow and San Francisco Bay salinity. Journal of Hydrology, 277(3/4), 164-181. (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., W.A. Bennett, D.R. Cayan, J. Florsheim, M. Hughes, B.L. Ingram, A. Jassby, N. Knowles, F. Malamud, D.H. Peterson, K. Redmond, and L. Smith, 2003: Climate science issues and needs of the CALFED Bay-Delta Program: American Meteorological Society, 83rd Annual Meeting, Impacts of Water Availability Symposium, Long Beach, CA, Feb 9-13, 2003. (preprint) (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., D.R. Cayan, M.K. Meyer, and A.E. Jeton, 2004: Simulated hydrologic responses to climate variations and change in the Merced, Carson, and American River basins, Sierra Nevada, California, 1900-2099. Climatic Change, 62, 283-317. http://tenaya.ucsd.edu/~dettinge/sierra_change.pdf
Dettinger, M.D., D.R. Cayan, N. Knowles, A. Westerling and M.K. Tyree, 2002: Recent projections of 21st Century climate change and watershed responses in the Sierra Nevada, California. Proceedings, Sierra Nevada Science Symposium, North Tahoe, October 2002, 5 pp.
Dettinger, M.D., D.R. Cayan, and K.T. Redmond, 2002: United States streamflow probabilities and uncertainties based on anticipated El Niño, Water Year 2003. Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, Autumn 2002, 11:4, 46-52. (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., 2001: Droughts, epic droughts and droughty centuries -- Lessons from Californias paleoclimatic record. Interagency Ecological Studies Program the San Francisco Estuary Newsletter, Summer 2001, 51-53. (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., 2001: Hydrometeorological aspects of the New Years 1997 Flood in Yosemite Valley, California-Lessons for forecastability and global change. 26th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, La Jolla, CA.
Dettinger, M., Cayan, D., and Knowles, N., 2001: Floods, droughts, and planning for San Francisco Bay--A Sierra Nevada perspective: 5th Biennial State of the Estuary Conference, San Francisco, Oct. 2001.
Dettinger, M.D., 2001: Hydrometeorological aspects of the New Years 1997 Flood in Yosemite Valley, California-Lessons for global change. NCAR/ACACIA Extreme Precipitation Workshop, March 2001. (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., 2001: Hydrometeorological aspects of the New Years 1997 Flood in Yosemite Valley, California-Lessons for global change. San Francisco Bay/Delta Modeling Forum, Pacific Grove, February 2001.
Dettinger, M.D., 2000: Assessment and applications of medium- to long-range climate forecasts for prediction of California rivers and aquifers (abstract). CIRES Western Water Iniative seminar, University of Colorado, Boulder CO.
Dettinger, M.D., 2000: Sierra Nevada runoff into San Francisco Bay--Why has it come earlier recently? (abstract). CALFED Science Conference, Sacramento, October 2000.
Dettinger, M.D., and D.R. Cayan, 2000: The Pacific Decadal Oscillation and flood frequencies in the United States. Geological Society of America Annual Meeting Abstracts with Programs, Reno, NV, 32(7), A460.
Dettinger, M.D., D.R. Cayan, G.J. McCabe, and K.T. Redmond, 2000: Winter-spring 2001 United States streamflow probabilities based on anticipated neutral ENSO conditions and recent NPO status. September 2000 Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, Center for Land-Ocean-Atmosphere Studies, 9(3), 55-60.
Dettinger, M.D., 1999: Trends in the timing of streamflow in the conterminous United States since the 1940s (abstract). Sixteenth Annual PACLIM Workshop, May 1999.
Dettinger, M.D., D.R. Cayan and T.J. Brown, 1999: Intraseasonal lightning variations in the western United States. NOAA Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, Tucson, AZ, November 1999. (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., D.R. Cayan and K. T. Redmond, 1999: United States Streamflow Probabilities based on Forecasted La Nina, Winter-Spring 2000. Kirtman, B. (ed.), December 1999 Experimental Long-lead Forecast Bulletin, 8(4). (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., K.C. Mo, D.R. Cayan and A.E. Jeton, 1999: Global to local scale simulations of streamflow in the Merced, American, and Carson Rivers, Sierra Nevada, California. Preprints, American Meteorological Society's 14th Conference on Hydrology, Dallas, January 1999, 80-82. (Click here for pdf file)
Dettinger, M.D., K.C. Mo, D.R. Cayan and D.H. Peterson, 1998: Hindcasts and forecasts of streamflow in the Merced and American Rivers, Sierra Nevada, during recent El Ninos. Abstract, EOS, American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting supplement, 79, F326.
Filonczuk, M.K., D.R. Cayan and L.G. Riddle, 1995: Variability of Marine Fog Along the California Coast. SIO Reference No. 95-2, 102pp. (Click here for pdf file)
Flint, A.L., and L.E. Flint, 2006: Modeling soil moisture processes and recharge under a melting snowpack. Proceedings, TOUGH Symposium, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California, May 15-17, 2006, 7pp. (Click here for pdf file)
Florsheim, J., and M. Dettinger, 2007: Climate and floods still govern California levee breaks. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, doi:10,1029/2007GL031702,2007, L22403, 5p. (Click here for pdf file)
Florsheim, J., and M. Dettinger, 2005: Influence of anthropogenic alterations on geomorphic response to climate variations and change in San Francisco Bay-Delta and watershed. Watershed Management Council Networker, 13, Spring 2005, 13-16. (Click here for pdf file)
Franco, G., D. Cayan, A. Luers, M. Hanemann and B. Croes, 2008: Linking climate change science with policy in California. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S7-S20, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9359-8. (Click here for pdf file)
Franco, G., and A.H. Sanstad, 2008: Climate change and electricity demand in California. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S139-S151, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9364-y. (Click here for pdf file)
Fried, J.S., J.Keith Gilless, W.J. Riley, T.J. Moody, C. Simon de Blas, K. Hayhoe, M. Moritz, S. Stephens and M. Torn, 2008: Predicting the effect of climate change on wildfire behavior and initial attack success. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S251-S264, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9360-2. (Click here for pdf file)
Funk, C., M.D. Dettinger, J.C. Michaelsen, J.P. Verdin, M.E. Brown, M. Barlow and A. Hoell, 2008: Warming of the Indian Ocean threatens eastern and southern African food security but could be mitigated by agricultural development. PNAS, 105(32), 11081-11086. doi/10.1073/pnas.0708196105 (Click here for pdf file)
Georgakakos, K.P., 2003: Probabilistic climate model diagnostics for hydrologic and water resources impact studies. J Hydrometeorology, 4(1):92-105.
Georgakakos, K.P., and A.A. Tsonis, 2002: Observing Extreme Variability in Nonlinear Systems. In Emergent Nature - Patterns, Growth and Scaling of the Sciences, M.M. Novak, ed., World Scientific Publishing Co., London, United Kingdom, 209-221.
Georgakakos, K.P., and R. Krzysztofowicz, (eds.) 2001: Probabilistic and Ensemble Forecasting. Special Issue of J Hydrology, 249, 196pp.
Georgakakos, K.P., and D.E. Smith, 2001: Soil Moisture Tendencies into the Next Century for the Conterminous United States. J Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 106 (D21), 27367-27382.
Georgakakos, A.P., and K.P. Georgakakos, 1999: Issues Associated with the Use of GCM Forecast information for the Operational Management of Multipurpose Reservoirs. AWRA Specialty Conference on Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change to Water Resources of the United States, May 10-12, 1999, Atlanta, Georgia.
Georgakakos, A.P., H. Yao and K.P. Georgakakos, 1999: Vulnerability of River basin Management to Climate Variability and Change. AWRA Specialty Conference on Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change to Water Resources of the United States, May 10-12, 1999, Atlanta, Georgia.
Gershunov, A., D.R. Cayan and S.F. Iacobellis, 2009: The Great 2006 heat wave over California and Nevada: Signal of an Increasing Trend. Journal of Climate. Early Online Release. DOI: 10.1175/2009JCLI2465.1 (Click here for pdf file)
Gershunov, A., 2002: Forecasting seasonal frequencies of heavy daily precipitation events. Proceedings of the Conference on Water Resources Planning and Management, Roanoke, Virginia, May 2002.
Gershunov, A. and D.R. Cayan, 2003: Heavy daily precipitation frequency over the contiguous U.S.: Sources of climatic variability and seasonal predictability. J. Climate (in press).
Gershunov, A., 2001: Seasonal forecasting of non-traditional weather statistics. Climate Report, 2 (2), 13-18.
Gershunov, A., and T.P. Barnett, 2000: Floods or drought in California in the next 20 years? San Diego Union Tribune, October 25 issue, F4.
Gershunov, A., T.P. Barnett, D.R. Cayan, A. Tubbs and L. Goddard, 2000: Predicting ENSO Impacts on Intraseasonal Precipitation Statistics in California: the 1997-1998 Event. J. of Hydromet., 1 (6), 201-210.
Gershunov, A., T.P. Barnett, D.R. Cayan, A. Tubbs and L. Goddard, 1999: Predicting the 1997-98 El Niño's effect on California precipitation: comparison of statistical, dynamical and hybrid models. Proceedings of the 24th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop, American Meterological Society, 29-32.
Gershunov, A., T.P. Barnett and D.R. Cayan, 1999: North Pacific interdecadal oscillation seen as factor in ENSO-related North American climate anomalies. EOS, 80 (3), 1, 25-30.
Guiterrez, A.P., L. Ponti, T. d'Oultremont and C.K. Ellis, 2008: Climate change effects on poikilotherm tritrophic interactions. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S167-S192, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9379-4. (Click here for pdf file)
Hall, B.L., and T.J. Brown, 2001: Development of lightning climatology information over the western U.S. Report prepared for Bureau of Land Management, CEFA Report 01-03, October 2001, 4 pp.
Hall, B.L., and T.J. Brown, 2001: Development of lightning climatology information over the western U.S. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, November 2001, 112-114.
Hall, B., T. Brown and J. Roads, 2000: Utilization of Scripps ECPC Forecasts for Regional Monthly Assessments. Proceedings AMS Fireweather Conference. Long Beach, CA.
Hanson, R.T., Newhouse, M.W., and Dettinger, M.D., 2004: A methodology to assess relations between climatic variability and variations in hydrologic time series in the southwestern United States. Journal of Hydrology, 287, 252-269. (Click here for pdf file)
Hanson, R.T., and M.D. Dettinger, 2005: Ground-water/surface-water responses to ensembles of global climate simulatinos, Santa Clara-Calleguas basin, Ventura County, California, 1950-93. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 41, 517-536. (Click here for pdf file)
Hayhoe K., D. Cayan, C.B. Field, P.C. Frumhoff, E.P. Maurer, N.L. Miller, S.C. Moser, S.H. Schneider, K.N. Cahill, E.E. Cleland, L. Dale, R. Drapek, R.M. Hanemann, L.S. Kalkstein, J. Lenihan, C.K. Lunch, R.P. Neilson, S.C. Sheridan and J.H. Verville, 2004: Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2004 Aug 24;101(34):12422-7. Epub 2004 Aug 16. (Click here for pdf file)
Healey, M., M. Dettinger and R. Norgaard (editors), 2008: The state of Bay-Delta science. CALFED Science Program, 174 p. (Click here for web page detailing the report or click here for pdf file of the report)
Healey, M., M. Dettinger and R. Norgaard, 2008: State of the science for the Bay-Delta system - Summary for policymakers and the public: CALFED Science Program Report, 19p. (Click here for web page detailing the report or click here for pdf file of the report)
Hidalgo H.G., T. Das, M.D. Dettinger, D.R. Cayan, D.W. Pierce, T.P. Barnett, G. Bala, A. Mirin, A.W. Wood, C. Bonfils, B.D. Santer, and T. Nozawa, 2009: Detection and Attribution of Stream flow Timing Changes to Climate Change in the Western United States. Journal of Climate, 22, DOI: 10.1175/2009JCLI2470.1, 3838-3855. (Click here for pdf file)
Hidalgo, H.G., M.D. Dettinger and D.R. Cayan, 2008: Changes in Aridity in the Western United States. In "California Drought, An Update - 2008", California Department of Water Resources, pp 54-59, April 2008. (Click here for pdf file)
Hidalgo, H.G., M.D. Dettinger and D.R. Cayan, 2008: Downscaling with Constructed Analogues: Daily Precipitation and Temperature Fields over the United States. CEC PIER Project Report CEC-500-2007-123, 48pp, January 2008. (Click here for pdf file)
Hidalgo, H.G., D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2005: Sources of variability of evapotranspiration in California. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 6, 3-19. (Click here for pdf file)
Holmes, T.P., R.J. Hugget and A.L. Westerling, 2008: Statistical Analysis of Large Wildfires. Chapter 4 in Economics of Forest Disturbance: Wildfires, Storms, and Pests, Series: Forestry Sciences, 79. T.P. Holmes, J.P. Prestemon and K.L. Abt, Eds., XIV, 422p, Springer. ISBN: 978-1-4020-4369-7 (Click here for pdf file)
Jaffe, D., W. Hafner, D. Chand, A.L. Westerling and D.V. Spracklen, 2008: Interannual Variations in Wildfire PM2.5 in the Western United States. Environmental Science and Technology, 42:2812-2818. DOI:10.1021/es702755v (Click here for pdf file)
Knowles, N., M.D. Dettinger and D.R. Cayan, 2006: Trends in Snowfall versus Rainfall in the Western United States. J. Climate, 19(18), 4545-4559. (Click here for pdf file)
Knowles, N., and D.R. Cayan, 2004: Elevational dependence of projected hydrologic changes in the San Francisco estuary and watershed. Climatic Change, 62, 319-336. http://tenaya.ucsd.edu/~dettinge/noah_cc.pdf
Knowles, N., and D.R. Cayan, 2002: Potential effects of global warming on the Sacramento/San Joaquin watershed and the San Francisco estuary. Geophysical Research Letters, 29(18), 1891.
Knowles, N., Cayan, D.R., Dettinger, M.D., and Peterson, D.H., 2001: Decadal variability in San Francisco Estuary --Natural and human causes. Eighteenth Annual PACLIM Workshop, Pacific Grove, March 2001.
Knowles, N., 2000: Modeling the Hydroclimate of the San Francisco Bay-Delta Estuary and Watershed. PhD Thesis, Scripps Institution of Oceanography. La Jolla, CA, University of California, San Diego.
Koczot, K.M., and M.D. Dettinger, 2003: Climate effects of Pacific Decadal Oscillation on streamflow of the Feather River, California. Proceedings, Western Snow Conference, 4p. (Click here for pdf file)
Lewis, J.M., D. Koracin and K. Redmond, 2003: Sea fog off the California Coast: Historical perspective and climatology. Preprint, 12th Conference on Interactions of the Sea and Atmosphere, American Meteorological Society, 83rd Annual Meeting, Feb 9-13, 2003, Long Beach CA.
Littell, J. S., D. McKenzie, D. L. Peterson and A. L. Westerling, 2007: Climate and Wildfire Area Burned in Western U.S. Ecoprovinces, 1916-2003. Submitted to Ecological Applications. (Click here for draft pdf file)
Lundquist, J.D., and M.D. Dettinger, 2005: How snowpack heterogeneity affects diurnal streamflow timing. Water Resources Research, 41, W05007, doi:10.1029/2004/WR003649, 14p. (Click here for pdf file)
Lundquist, J.D., M.D. Dettinger and D.R. Cayan, 2005: Snow-fed streamflow timing at different basin scales: Case study of the Tuolumne River above Hetch Hetchy, Yosemite, California. Water Resources Research, 41, W07005, doi:10.1029/2004/WR003933, 14p. (Click here for pdf file)
Lundquist, J.D., 2004: When is the best time to cross a mountain stream? Understanding daily variations in streamflow. Nature Notes, 4, June 2004, Yosemite Association. (Click here for article)
Lundquist, J.D., D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2004: Spring onset in the Sierra Nevada -- When is snowmelt independent of elevation? Journal of Hydrometeorology, 5, 325-340. (Click here for pdf file)
Lundquist, J.D., D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2003: Meteorology and hydrology in Yosemite National Park: A Sensor Network Application. In Information Processing in Sensor Networks, F. Zhao and L. Guibas (eds.): IPSN 2003, LNCS 2634, 518-528. (Click here for pdf file)
Lundquist, J.D., and M.D. Dettinger, 2003: Linking diurnal cycles in river flow to interannual variations in climate. American Meteorological Society, 83rd Annual Meeting, Global Change Symposium, Long Beach, CA, Feb. 2003. (Click here for pdf file)
Lundquist, J.D., 2002: Monitoring Snow from the Beach in San Diego: Automatic Snow Sensors in the Sierra. Nature Notes, 2, February 2002, Yosemite Association. (Click here for article)
Lundquist, J.D., and D.R. Cayan, 2002: Seasonal and spatial patterns in diurnal cycles in streamflow in the western United States. J Hydrometeorology, 3(5), 591-603.
Mahmud, A., M. Tyree, D. Cayan, N. Motallebi and M.J. Kleeman, 2008: Statistical downscaling of climate change impacts on ozone concentrations in California. J Geophys Res, 113, D21103, doi:10.1029/2007JD009534, 12p. (Click here for article)
Malamud-Roam, F., M.D. Dettinger, B.L. Ingram, M. Hughes and J. Florsheim, 2007: Holocene climates and connections between between the San Francisco Bay estuary and its watershed - A Review. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 5(1), 28 p. http://repositories.cdlib.org/jmie/sfews/vol5/iss1/art3 (Click here to download the article)
Maurer, E.P., and H.G. Hidalgo, 2008: Utility of daily vs. monthly large-scale climate data: an intercomparison of two statistical downscaling methods. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., in press.
McCabe, G.J., Jr., M.D. Dettinger and D.R. Cayan, 2003: Hydroclimatology of the 1950s Drought, in Betancourt, J., and H.F. Diaz (eds.), The 1950s Drought in the American Southwest--Hydrological, Ecological and Socioeconomic Impacts: University of Arizona Press (in review).
McCabe, G.J., and M.D. Dettinger, 2002: Primary modes and predictability of year-to-year snowpack variations in the western United States from teleconnections with Pacific Ocean climate. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 3, 13-25. (Click here for pdf file)
McCabe, G.J. and M.D. Dettinger, 1999: Decadal Variations in the Stength of ENSO Teleconnections with Precipitation in the Western United States. Int. J. Climatol. 19, 1399-1410. (Click here for pdf file)
Medellin-Azuara, J. J.J. Harou, M.A. Olivares, K. Madani, J.R. Lund, R.E. Howitt, S.K. Tanaka, M.W. Jenkins and T. Zhu, 2008: Adaptability and adaptations of California's water supply system to dry climate warming. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S75-S90, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-0355-z. (Click here for pdf file)
Moritz, M.A., and S.L. Stephens, 2008: Fire and sustainability: consideration for California's altered future climate. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S265-S271, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9361-1. (Click here for pdf file)
Neiman, P.J., F.M. Ralph, G.A. Wick, Y.H. Kuo, T.K. Wee, Z. Ma, G.H. Taylor and M.D. Dettinger, 2008: Diagnosis of an intense atmospheric river impacting the Pacific Northwest - Storm summary and offshore vertical structure observed with COSMIC satellite retrievals. Monthly Weather Review, 136, 4398-4420, doi:10.1175/2008MWR2550.1. (Click here for pdf file)
Neiman, P.J., F.M. Ralph, G.A. Wick, J.D. Lundquist and M.D. Dettinger, 2008: Meteorological characteristics and overland precipitation impacts of atmospheric rivers affecting the West Coast of North America based on eight years of SSM/I satellite observations. J. Hydrometeorology, 9, 22-47, doi:10.1175/2007JHM855.1. (Click here for pdf file)
Nelson, K.C., M.A. Palmer, P.L. Angemeier, J.E. Pizzuto, G.E. Moglen, M. Dettinger and K. Hayhoe, 2009: Forecasting the combined effects of urbanization and climate change on stream ecosystems -- From impacts to management options. Journal of Applied Ecology, 46, 154-163. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2664.2008.01599.x (Click here for personal use pdf file)
Nemani, R.R., M.A. White, D.R. Cayan, G.V. Jones, S.W. Running and J.C. Coughlan, 2001: Asymmetric climatic warming over coastal California and its impact on the premium wine industry. Climate Research, 19, 25-34.
Pagano, T., P. Pasteris, M. Dettinger, D. Cayan and K. Redmond, 2004: Spring 2004 -- Western water managers feel the heat. EOS, 85, 385, 392-393. (Click here for pdf file)
Pandey, G.R., D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger and K. P. Georgakakos, 2000: A hybrid model for interpolating daily precipitation in the Sierra Nevada of California during winter. J. of Hydrometeorology, 1, 491-506. (Click here for pdf file)
Pandey, G.R., D.R. Cayan and K. P. Georgakakos, 1999: Precipitation Structure in the Sierra Nevada of California during Winter. J. Geophys. Res., 104, D10, 12019-12030.
Peterson, D., R. Smith and S. Hager, 2006: A walk through the hydorclimate network in Yosemite National Park: River Chemistry. Nature Notes, Yosemite Organization, 16pp. (Click here for pdf file)
Peterson, D., R. Smith, S. Hager, J. Hecke, M. Dettinger and K. Huber, 2005: River Chemistry as a Monitor of Yosemite Park Mountain Hydroclimates. EOS, 86(31), 285,288. (Click here for pdf file)
Pierce, D.W., T.P. Barnett, H.G. Hidalgo, T. Das, C. Bonfils, B.D. Santer, G. Bala, M.D. Dettinger, D.R. Cayan, A. Mirin, A.W. Wood, and T. Nozawa, 2008: Attribution of Declining Western U.S. Snowpack to Human Effects. Journal of Climate, 21, 6425-6444. doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2405.1 (Click here for personal use pdf file)
Preisler, H.K., S.C. Chen, F. Fujioka, J.W. Benoit and A.L. Westerling, 2008: Wildland fire probabilities estimated from weather model-deduced monthly mean fire danger indices. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 17, 305-316. doi:10.1071/WF06162 (Click here for abstract)
Preisler, H.K., and A.L. Westerling, 2007: Statistical Model for Forecasting Monthly Large Wildfire Events in the Western United States. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 46, 1020-1030. (Click here for pdf file)
Purkey, D.R., B. Joyce, S. Vicuna, M.W. Hanemann, L.L. Dale, D. Yates and J.A. Dracup, 2008: Robust analysis of future climate change impacts on water for agriculture and other sectors: a case study in the Sacramento Valley. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S109-S122, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9375-8. (Click here for pdf file)
Ralph, F.M., P.J. Neiman, G.A. Wick, S.I. Gutman, M.D. Dettinger, D.R. Cayan and A.B. White, 2006: Flooding on California's Russian River: Role of atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L13801, 5pp, doi:10.1029/2006GL026689. (Click here for pdf file)
Redmond, K.T., D.W. Stahle, M.D. Therrell, D.R. Cayan, and M.D. Dettinger, 2002: 400 Years of California Central Valley precipitation reconstructed from blue oaks. Preprint, 13th AMS Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, Orlando FL, January 2002, pp. 20-23.
Redmond, K.T., and D.R. Cayan, 2001: Western U.S. inversions and the link to Pacific climate variability. Preprint, 12th AMS Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, Albuquerque NM, January 2001, pp. 289-292.
Redmond, K.T., D.W. Stahle, M.D. Therrell, D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2001: Spatial analysis of tree ring chronologies from California's blue oaks: Proceedings, Eighteenth Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop, Pacific Grove, CA.
Reisen, W.K., D. Cayan, M. Tyree, C.M. Barker, B. Eldridge and M. Dettinger, 2008: Impact of climate variation on mosquito abundance in California. Journal of Vector Ecology, 33(1), 89-98. (Click here for pdf file)
Reisen, W., H. Lothrop, R. Chiles, M. Madon, C. Cossen, L. Woods, S. Husted, V. Kramer, and J. Edma, 2004: West Nile virus in California. Emerg Infect Dis [serial on the Internet], Available from: http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/EID/vol10no8/04-0077.htm
Roads, J.O., Fujioka, F.M., and T.J. Brown, 2001: Development of a seasonal fire severity forecast for the contiguous U.S.: forecast and validation. American Met Soc Fire and Forest Meteorology Symposium, November 2001, 56-59.
Schlobohm, P.M. and T.J. Brown, 2001: Fire danger and the standardized precipitation index. Proceedings American Meteorological Society Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, November 2001, 220-222.
Shachat, .J., and A.L. Westerling 2004: Information Aggregation in Catastrophe Reinsurance Markets. Economics Working Paper Archive, Experimental Series #0403002, Washington University Economics Department. (Click here for pdf file)
Simpson, J.J., M.D. Dettinger, F. Gerhke, T.J. McIntire and G.I. Hufford, 2004: Hydrologic scales, cluod variability, remote sensing and models -- Implications for forecasting snowmelt and streamflow. Weather and Forecasting, 19, 251-276. (Click here for pdf file)
Snyder, M.A., L.M. Kueppers, L.C. Sloan, D. Cayan, J. Jin, H. Kanamaru, M. Kanamitsu, N.L. Miller, M. Tyree, H. Du and B. Weare, 2006: Regional Climate Effects of Irrigation and Urbanization in the western United States: A Model Intercomparison. CEC PIER Project Report CEC-500-2006-031, 43pp, May 2006. (Click here for pdf file)
Spracklen, D.V., J.A. Logan, L.J. Mickley, R.J. Park, R. Yevich, A.L. Westerling and D. Jaffe, 2007: Wildfires drive interannual variability of organic carbon aerosol in the western U.S. in summer: implications for trends. Geophysical Research Letters, submitted. (Click here for pdf file)
Stahle, D.W., M.D. Therrell, M.K. Cleaveland, D.R. Cayan, M.D. Dettinger and N. Knowles, 2001: Ancient blue oaks reveal human impact on San Francisco Bay salinity. EOS, 82(141), 144-145. (Click here for pdf file)
Stewart, I.T., D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2005: Changes toward earlier streamflow timing across Western North America. Journal of Climate, 18, 1136-1155. (Click for pdf file)
Stewart, I.T., D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2004: Changes in snowmelt runoff timing in western North America under a 'Business as Usual' climate change scenario. Climatic Change, 62, 217-232. (Click for pdf file)
Vicuna, S., R. Leonardson, M.W. Hanemann, L.L. Dale and J.A. Dracup: 2008: Climate change impacts on high elevation hydropower generation in California's Sierra Nevada: a case study in the Upper American River. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S123-S137, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9365-x. (Click here for pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., and B.P. Bryant, 2008: Climate change and wildfire in California. Climatic Change, 87, (Suppl 1):S231-S249, doi:10.1007/s10584-007-9363-z. (Click here for pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., 2008: Climatology for Wildfire Management. Chapter 6 in Economics of Forest Disturbance: Wildfires, Storms, and Pests, Series: Forestry Sciences, 79. T.P. Holmes, J.P. Prestemon and K.L. Abt, Eds., XIV, 422p, Springer. ISBN: 978-1-4020-4369-7 (Click here for draft pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., H.G. Hidalgo, D.R. Cayan and T.W. Swetnam, 2006: Warming and Earlier Spring Increase Western U.S. Forest Wildfire Activity. Science, 313, 940-943. (Click for pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., D.R. Cayan, T.J. Brown, B.L. Hall and L.G. Riddle 2004: Climate, Santa Ana Winds and Autumn Wildfires in Southern California. EOS, 85(31), 289,296. (Click for pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., and T.W. Swetnam 2003: Interannual to Decadal Drought and Wildfire in the Western United States. EOS, 84(49), 545,554-5. (Click here for pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., A. Gershunov and D.R. Cayan, 2003: Statistical Forecasts of the 2003 Western Wildfire Season Using Canonical Correlation Analysis. Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, 12(1,2). (Click here for pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., T.J. Brown, A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2003: Climate and Wildfire in the Western United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 84(5), 595-604. (Click here for pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan and T.P. Barnett, 2002: Long lead statistical forecasts of western U.S. wildfire area burned. International J of Wildland Fire, 11(3,4), 257-266. (Click here for pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., A. Gershunov and D.R. Cayan, 2001: Statistical Forecasts of Western Wildfire Season Severity. Proceedings of the 4th Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, Reno, Nevada, November 2001, 202-205. (Click here for pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., D.R. Cayan, A. Gershunov, M.D. Dettinger and T.Brown, 2001: Statistical forecast of the 2001 western wildfire season using principal components regression. Experimental Long-Lead Forecast Bulletin, Center for Land- Ocean-Atmosphere Studies, 10(1), 71-75. (Click here for pdf file)
Westerling, A.L., N. Knowles, D.R. Cayan and M.D. Dettinger, 2001: Modeling Sierra Nevada wildfire season severity and suppression costs under a climate change scenario. EOS, 82(47), Fall Meeting Suppl., Abstract GC31A-0203.
Westerling, A. L., 2001: Climate variability and large storm surge on the Pacific Coast of the United States. In Proceedings of the American Meteorological Society Symposium on Climate Variability, the Oceans and Societal Impacts, Albuquerque, New Mexico, 2000.
Westerling, A. L., A. Gershunov, D. R. Cayan, and T. J. Brown, 2001: A Western United States fire climatology. In Proceedings of the American Meteorological Society Symposium on Climate Variability, the Oceans and Societal Impacts, Albuquerque, New Mexico, 2000.
Westerling, A., A. Gershunov, D.R. Cayan and T. J. Brown, 2000: A Western United States fire climatology. 12th Symposium on Global Change Studies, 81st American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, 157-159.
Wilby, R.L., and M.D. Dettinger, 2000: Streamflow changes in the Sierra Nevada, California, simulated using a statistically downscaled general circulation model scenario of climate change. In Linking Climate Change to Land Surface Change: Advances in Global Change Research, 6, S. McLaren and D. Kniveton (eds), Kluwer Adademic Publishers, 99-121. (Click here for pdf file)
Yao, H., and A.P. Georgakakos, 2001: Assessment of Folsom Lake Response to Historical and Potential Future Climate Scenarios: 2. Reservoir Management. J. of Hydrology, 249, 176-196.