638 WTPZ22 KNHC 241453 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022009 1500 UTC WED JUN 24 2009 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 107.7W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 90SE 30SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 107.7W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 107.4W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 21.0N 108.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 107.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN 926 WTPZ32 KNHC 241455 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022009 800 AM PDT WED JUN 24 2009 ...ANDRES WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.7 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...210 KM...WEST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO AND ABOUT 230 MILES...370 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. ANDRES IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL IT DISSIPATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST TODAY AND ANDRES IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. ...SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT INFORMATION... LOCATION...20.3N 107.7W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN 873 WTPZ42 KNHC 241458 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022009 800 AM PDT WED JUN 24 2009 THE CENTER OF ANDRES HAS BEEN EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO FIND IN CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. AN 0856 UTC AMSR-E MICROWAVE PASS WAS VERY HELPFUL IN LOCATING THE CENTER...HOWEVER A TRMM PASS ABOUT AN HOUR AND A HALF LATER SUGGESTED THAT THE CENTER WAS BECOMING ELONGATED AT THAT TIME. A MORE RECENT 1250 UTC QUIKSCAT PASS HAS PROVIDED MORE EVIDENCE THAT THE CENTER IS BECOMING ELONGATED AND LESS-DEFINED. THE HIGHEST BELIEVABLE WIND VECTOR FROM THE SCATTEROMETER WAS AROUND 30 KT...WHICH IS USED AS THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE. ANDRES IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING...DUE TO NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR AND A MORE STABLE AIRMASS. SINCE THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS BECOMING LESS DEFINED...DISSIPATION IS NOW EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND ANDRES SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL THAT OCCURS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 20.3N 107.7W 30 KT 12HR VT 25/0000Z 21.0N 108.8W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BROWN 061 WTPZ22 KNHC 241745 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022009 1800 UTC WED JUN 24 2009 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 107.6W AT 24/1800Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 107.6W AT 24/1800Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 107.4W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 107.6W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BROWN 183 WTPZ32 KNHC 241746 TCPEP2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022009 1100 AM PDT WED JUN 24 2009 ...ANDRES IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE... SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ANDRES NO LONGER HAS THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REQUIRED OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND HAS DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW. AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE REMNANT LOW OF ANDRES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.6 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES...230 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO AND ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD UNTIL IT DISSIPATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. ...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT INFORMATION... LOCATION...21.5N 107.6W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 15 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BROWN 731 WTPZ42 KNHC 241746 TCDEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANDRES SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022009 1100 AM PDT WED JUN 24 2009 ANDRES HAS BEEN DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER FOR ABOUT 12 HOURS AND GIVEN ITS ENVIRONMENT THE CONVECTION IS NOT LIKELY TO RETURN. ANDRES HAS THEREFORE DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. IN ADDITION... VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CENTER CONTINUES TO BECOME ILL-DEFINED. THE REMNANT LOW HAS TURNED NORTHWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA. THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE SHORTLY SO NO 12 HOUR FORECAST POINT IS PROVIDED. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1800Z 21.5N 107.6W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 12HR VT 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BROWN