630 WTPZ22 KNHC 261431 TCMEP2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022012 1500 UTC SAT MAY 26 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 105.8W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 105.8W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 105.8W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.8N 106.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 105.8W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANS OF BUD PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN 631 WTPZ32 KNHC 261431 TCPEP2 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BUD ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022012 800 AM PDT SAT MAY 26 2012 ...BUD DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.6N 105.8W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BUD WAS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.8 WEST. BUD IS MOVING TO THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...BUD COULD PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO IN THE STATES OF MICHOACAN...COLIMA...JALISCO AND SOUTHERN NAYARIT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF BUD PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN 349 WTPZ42 KNHC 261431 TCDEP2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BUD DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022012 800 AM PDT SAT MAY 26 2012 BASED ON THE LACK OF CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 15 HOURS...BUD IS ASSESSED TO BE A REMNANT LOW AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY. THE CENTER...IF THERE IS ONE...IS IMPOSSIBLE TO LOCATE...AND THE ADVISORY POSITION WAS DETERMINED LARGELY FROM CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND MODEST HINTS IN A COUPLE OF OVERNIGHT MICROWAVE PASSES. THE CENTER COULD BE A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH...NOT THAT IT MATTERS MUCH. ANOTHER INCH OR SO OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH BUD...BUT THAT THREAT IS ALSO RAPIDLY DIMINISHING. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/1500Z 20.6N 105.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 27/0000Z 20.8N 106.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 27/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN