Strength of the global ocean warming signal from PCM (Parallel Climate Model) forced with observed/BAU anthropogenic forcing beginning in 1870 relative the signal predicted in 2100.  Three different realizations are shown (horizontal bars) for decadal average signal strength.  Blue/greens are from observed/estimated GHG emissions, while yellow/reds are from BAU scenarios.  Observed signal strength from ocean data assimilation for  6 years in the mid-1990s is shown with green circles.  The model captured the observed warming quite well.
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