Updated 3 March 1998
The model is forecasting the El Niño to fade by mid 1998, followed by a cold event ("La Niña") in the second half of 1998.
Note: The model has historically overestimated the strength of cold events following big warm events.
Click on the image to get full picture
September / October / November 1998
December / January / February 1998/1999
Note: Please do not link to this page, it changes every month. Link to the El Niño Forecast Home Page instead.
Last modified: 3 March 1998
Contact: dpierce@ucsd.edu