One part of our current research into the El Niño phenomenon is aimed at increasing the forecast skill of our Hybrid Coupled Model (HCM) of the tropical Pacific. We already use it, generally quite successfully, to make operational predictions of the tropical Pacific. But there are times when it could do a better job, and that is what we are looking into.
We currently are exploring a couple ideas for how to increase the model skill, especially at extended lead times:
Another part of our research focusses on predicting unusual temperature or precipitation patterns across the U.S that are associated with El Niño. Obviously, these are something that the residents of the U.S. are quite interested in.
El Nino Forecast Page ECPC Home Page
Last modified: 24 July 1997
Copyright © 2000 David W. Pierce. All rights reserved.