The forecasts on these pages show the results of ongoing research
into forecasting El Niño and are experimental in nature.
There is some error associated with them. They should not be
used as the basis of any public or private policy decisions.
The model is forecasting strong La Nina (cold) conditions in the winter of 2016/2017
Pictures of the forecast (updated the first week of every month)
Last modified: July 4, 2016
Copyright © 2000 David W. Pierce. All rights reserved.